Clinical predictivity of thalamic sub-regional connectivity in clinically isolated syndrome: a 7-year study

Here, we explored trajectories of sub-regional thalamic resting state (RS) functional connectivity (FC) modifications occurring in clinically isolated syndrome (CIS) patients early after their first clinical episode, and assessed their relationship with disability over 7 years. RS fMRI and clinical data were prospectively acquired from 59 CIS patients and 13 healthy controls (HC) over 2 years. A clinical re-assessment was performed in 53 (89%) patients after 7 years. Using a structural connectivity-based atlas, five thalamic sub-regions (frontal, motor, postcentral, occipital, and temporal) were used for seed-based RS FC. Thalamic RS FC abnormalities and their longitudinal changes were correlated with disability. Thirty-nine (66.1%) patients suffered a second clinical relapse, but the median EDSS remained stable over time. At baseline, CIS patients vs HC showed reduced RS FC (p < 0.001, uncorrected) with: (1) frontal cortices, for the whole thalamus, occipital, postcentral, and temporal thalamic sub-regions, (2) occipital cortices, for the occipital thalamic sub-region. In CIS, the longitudinal analysis revealed at year 2 vs baseline: (1) no significant whole-thalamic RS FC changes; (2) reduction of motor, postcentral, and temporal sub-regional RS FC with occipital cortices (p < 0.05, corrected); (3) an increase (p < 0.001, uncorrected) of postcentral and occipital sub-regional thalamic RS FC with frontal cortices, left putamen, and ipsi- and contralateral thalamus, this latter correlating with less severe clinical disability at year 7. Thalamo-cortical disconnections were present in CIS mainly in thalamic sub-regions closer to the third ventricle early after the demyelinating event, evolved in the subsequent 2 years, and were associated with long-term clinical disability.