Disease Course and Colectomy Rate of Ulcerative Colitis: A Follow-up Cohort Study of a Referral Center in Tuscany

Background: The disease course and colectomy rate of ulcerative colitis (UC) vary largely in population-based and referral center cohorts. We retrospectively evaluated our cohort to determine the disease course and risk factors for colectomy. Methods: A cohort of 1723 ulcerative colitis patients (986 males; mean age, 34.8 ± 15.4 yrs) were identified and followed since 1960s for a mean of 11 ± 9 years (range, 1-49 yrs). Results: The disease extension was classified as E1, E2, and E3 on diagnosis at 19.7%, 54.2%, and 26.1% of patients, respectively. At the final follow-up, the disease extension increased in 20% of the cases. Extraintestinal manifestations (EIMs) were reported by 11% of the patients, whereas systemic corticosteroids (CS), IM or anti-TNFα agents were used by 68.6%, 20.4%, and 6.4% of patients, respectively. The crude colectomy rate was 7% (120 pts), with a 1.2% rate (n 21) at 1 year from diagnosis (95% CI, 0.7-1.7) and a Kaplan-Meyer estimation of up to 18.2% after 30 years of follow-up. The 1-year colectomy rate showed no significant difference through the decades, whereas the 5-year and 10-year absolute value of colectomy was halved in the last 2 decades compared with the period from 1960 to 1990 (P 0.01), with a general trend of a reduced colectomy rate at survival curves (P 0.056). Conclusions: The colectomy rate was low in our cohort and further reduced in the last 2 decades. However, despite the availability of anti-TNFα agents, no further significant reduction of colectomies was observed in the last decade.